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Three Factors Urge The Two Cities To Stop The Rebound Market Is Still Not Over?

2012/3/15 17:02:00 10

Market Rebound

Three factors to promote the two cities index to stop


today

Stock market index

On the disk, most stocks float green, but the decline is slower than the previous day.

Real estate, building materials, ST, touch screens, rare earth permanent magnets, and so on.

Subsequently, with the financial and oil sector began to protect the market, the two cities rebounded.

In the afternoon, the two cities fell at a low level and narrowed down.


What are the reasons for today's stock market rebound? The main reasons are as follows:


1. since its establishment last year, securities finance companies have been conducting tight refinancing business preparations.

Recently, people familiar with the matter learned that despite the great pressure of designing business rules and operating procedures, refinancing business will definitely be launched in the year.

The refinancing business is expected to increase the volume of margin trading and expand the trading means of institutional investors with the already ETF.

This short message is good for the brokerage sector, but will also have a profound impact on the overall operation mode of the stock market.


Two

China Securities Regulatory Commission

President Guo Shuqing, who attended the closing session of the five session of the eleven National People's Congress 14 days ago, said that the price of the new issue is still too high. The next step will enhance the market pparency and strengthen the information disclosure requirements, so as to promote the role of all parties in the market, improve market order and boost confidence in the stock market.

Guo Shuqing said that the price of new shares is still too high. Next, the regulatory authorities will further enhance the pparency of the market operation, further strengthen the information disclosure requirements, so that issuers, intermediaries, investors and other markets will play a role in promoting the reform and improvement of the new stock issue system.

This news is good for the stock market.

Management continues to publish standardized market statements, expressing the hope that the market will develop healthily and steadily.


3. technically, there is strong support near the 30 day moving average, which has a strong supporting role for the stock index.

The enlargement of volume shows that the undertakes are strong.


After yesterday and today's shock adjustment, how will the stock market index be run? I believe that yesterday's stock index volume dropped and broke several important averages, leading to the development of small head to big head. This shows that the short term header of the stock index has been confirmed, and the withdrawal is still a good opportunity to leave, and the stock market will continue to shake up.

In addition, from the daily line, the DIF and DEA in the MACD index have already been on the high side, and the downward trend is obvious.

At the weekly level, the KDJ index, which has been passivated for a long time, began to diverge downward, and the adjustment trend was also obvious.

Therefore, the signs of downward adjustment of the market are obvious for some time.


Overall, yesterday's big line will make the short-term market possible.

Anti smoking

However, at a technical and macro level, the adjustment has been basically established. Investors are still holding on to high prices and putting bags into safety.


Who is directing the "ghost drama"?


Although the fall on Wednesday was a bit of a surprise, the recent adjustment factor has accumulated to a certain extent.

Or even if there is no adjustment on Wednesday, the short-term fall is also a probability event.


First, the short-term rebound is relatively large and requires technical adjustment.

Since the rebound in January 6th this year, Shanghai Composite Index has risen by more than 16%. In terms of stocks, more than 50% of the stocks rose by 150.

More importantly, there has not been a decent adjustment in the market since January 6th to Tuesday. It should not be surprising that a lot of the atmosphere is not fully available.


Second, real estate regulation is expected to change.

Recently, the real estate sector has been significantly stronger.

Although the policy game continues, investors still expect the real estate policy to have peaked, and the gradual relaxation of the future is a major trend.

However, yesterday's policy stance on price adjustment is far from being in place, which undoubtedly led to a big change in investors' expectations.

Real estate investment has a greater impact on economic growth, and real estate industry related stocks in the A share of the weight is relatively large, so the expected changes in real estate regulation will have a significant negative impact on the market trend.

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